Publications
- Eggo RM; Cauchemez S; Ferguson NM. Spatial dynamics of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England, Wales and the United States. J R Soc Interface Published online before print June 23, 2010, doi: 10.1098/rsif.2010.0216 link
- M. Ajelli, S. Merler, A. Pugliese and C. Rizzo, Model predictions and evaluation of possible control strategies for the 2009 A/H1N1v influenza pandemic in Italy. Epidemiology and Infection, Available on CJO 14 Jun 2010 (?) doi:10.1017/S0950268810001317 link
- Alain-Jacques Valleron, Anne Cori, Sophie Valtat, Sofia Meurisse, Fabrice Carrat, Pierre-Yves Boëlle, Transmissibility and geographic spread of the 1889 influenza pandemic, PNAS May 11, 2010 vol. 107 no. 19 8778-8781 link
- Ajelli M., Goncalves B., Balcan D., Colizza V., Hu H., Ramasco J.J., Merler S., Vespignani A., Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: agent-based versus structured metapopulation models, BMC Infectious Disease, 10:190, 2010 link
- Stefano Merler, Marco Ajelli, The role of population heterogeneity and human mobility in the spread of pandemic influenza. Proc. R. Soc. B 22 February 2010 vol. 277 no. 1681 557-565 link
- Jacco Wallinga, Michiel van Boven, Marc Lipsitch. Optimizing infectious disease interventions during an emerging epidemic. PNAS January 12, 2010 vol.107 no. 2 923-928 link
- Simon Cauchemez, Christl A. Donnelly, Carrie Reed, Azra C. Ghani, Christophe Fraser, Charlotte K. Kent, Lyn Finelli and Neil M. Ferguson. Household Transmission of 2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Virus in the United States. The New England Journal of Medicine, Volume 361:2619-2627 December 31, 2009, Number 27 link
- James Truscott, Christophe Fraser, Wes Hinsley, Simon Cauchemez, Christl Donnelly, Azra Ghani, Neil Ferguson, and Aronrag Meeyai. Quantifying the transmissibility of human influenza and its seasonal variation in temperate regions. Version 3. PLoS Curr Influenza. 2009 November 3 [revised 2009 November 10 ]: RRN1125. link
- Azra C Ghani, Marc Baguelin, Jamie Griffin, Stefan Flasche, Richard Pebody, Albert Jan van Hoek, Simon Cauchemez, Ian M Hall, Christl Donnelly, Chris Robertson, Michael T White, Iain Barrass, Christophe Fraser, Alison Bermingham, James Truscott, Joanna Ellis, Helen Jenkins, George Kafatos, Tini Garske, Ross Harris, Jim McMenamin, Colin Hawkins, Nick Phin, Andre Charlett, Maria Zambon, W John Edmonds, Mike Catchpole, Steve Leach, Peter White, Neil M Ferguson, and Ben Cooper. The Early Transmission Dynamics of H1N1pdm Influenza in the United Kingdom. PLoS Curr Influenza. 2009 November 16: RRN1130. link
- S. Merler and M. Ajelli. The role of population heterogeneity and human mobility in the spread of pandemic influenza. Proceedings of the Royal Society B, 2009. Published online before print October 28, 2009. link
- House, Thomas; Baguelin, Marc; van Hoek, Albert Jan; Flasche, Stefan; White, P; Sadique, Md Zia; Eames, Ken; Read, Jonathan; Hens, Niel; Melegaro, Alessia; Keeling, Matt. Can Reactive School Closures help critical care provision during the current influenza pandemic?. PLoS Currents Influenza. 2009 Oct 28:RRN1119. link
- C Turbelin, C Pelat, PY Boëlle, D Lévy-Bruhl, F Carrat, T Blanchon, T Hanslik. Early estimates of 2009 pandemic influenza A(H1N1) virus activity in general practice in France: incidence of influenza-like illness and age distribution of reported cases. Eurosurveillance Volume 14, Issue 39 link
- Laura Forsberg White, Jacco Wallinga, Lyn Finelli , Carrie Reed, Steven Riley , Marc Lipsitch , Marcello Pagano. Estimation of the reproductive number and the serial interval in early phase of the 2009 influenza A/H1N1 pandemic in the USA. Influenza Other Respi Viruses Volume 3, Issue 6, pages 267-276, 2009 link
- G James Rubin, Richard Amlôt, Lisa Page, Simon Wessely. Public perceptions, anxiety, and behaviour change in relation to the swine flu outbreak: cross sectional telephone survey. BMJ 2009; 339: b2651 link
- Balinska, Marta; Rizzo, Caterina. Behavioural responses to influenza pandemics: What do we know? PLoS Currents Influenza. 2009 Sep 10:RRN1037 link
- A. Lunelli, A. Pugliese, C. Rizzo. Epidemic patch models applied to pandemic influenza: Contact matrix, stochasticity, robustness of predictions. Mathematical Biosciences, Volume 220, Issue 1, July 2009, Pages 24-33 link
- S. Merler, M. Ajelli, and C. Rizzo. Age-prioritized use of antivirals during an influenza pandemic. BMC Infectious Diseases, 9:117, 2009.
- P. Poletti, B. Caprile, M. Ajelli, A. Pugliese, and S. Merler. Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 260(1):31-40, 2009. link
- M. Ajelli and S. Merler. An individual-based model of hepatitis A transmission. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 259(3):478-488, 2009 link
- Christophe Fraser, 1, Christl A. Donnelly,1, Simon Cauchemez,1, William P. Hanage,1, Maria D. Van Kerkhove,1 T. Déirdre Hollingsworth,1 Jamie Griffin,1 Rebecca F. Baggaley,1 Helen E. Jenkins,1 Emily J. Lyons,1 Thibaut Jombart,1 Wes R. Hinsley,1 Nicholas C. Grassly,1 Francois Balloux,1 Azra C. Ghani,1 Neil M. Ferguson,1, Andrew Rambaut,2 Oliver G. Pybus,3 Hugo Lopez-Gatell,4 Celia M. Alpuche-Aranda,5 Ietza Bojorquez Chapela,4 Ethel Palacios Zavala,4 Dulce Ma. Espejo Guevara,6 Francesco Checchi,7 Erika Garcia,7 Stephane Hugonnet,7 Cathy Roth,7.
Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings. Originally published in Science Express on 11 May 2009 Science 19 June 2009: Vol. 324. no. 5934, pp. 1557 - 1561 DOI: 10.1126/science.1176062 link - Pierre-Yves Boëlle, Jean-Claude Desenclos, Pascale Bernillon. Rapid communications. A preliminary estimation of the reproduction ratio for new influenza A(H1N1) from the outbreak in Mexico, March-April 2009. EUROSURVEILLANCE Vol . 14 · Issue 19 · 14 May 2009 link

